Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = CT Bantams Coach = Jason TarnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5214996 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 98.2) 6-13 306 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 91.8) 14-15 309 H Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 13-24 313 A Western Connecticut LEC (13- 5, 88.7) 13- 8 316 N Scranton Landmark (14- 8, 90.3) 16-12 320 A Coast Guard NEWMAC ( 2-12, 85.3) 17-11 323 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.3) 11-17 326 A Clark NEWMAC ( 5-10, 85.2) 14- 6 330 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 13- 8 406 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 11- 7 410 H Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 10- 9 413 A Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.8) 11- 7 417 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 10- 8 420 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 7-15 424 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 5- 6 427 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 10-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Bowdoin 6-13 -7 -5 -1.63 306 H Skidmore 14-15 -1 2 - -3.45 309 H Tufts 13-24 -11 -5 -1.31 313 A Western Connecticut 13- 8 5 4 0.92 316 N Scranton 16-12 4 3 0.83 320 A Coast Guard 17-11 6 7 -1.00 323 H Williams 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.86 326 A Clark 14- 6 8 7 0.00 330 A Bates 13- 8 5 2 + 2.50 406 H Hamilton 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.58 410 H Wesleyan 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.21 413 A Colby 11- 7 4 1 + 2.99 417 A Connecticut College 10- 8 2 1 0.17 420 H Middlebury 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.01 424 A Amherst 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.98 427 A Wesleyan 10-18 -8 -4 - -2.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Williams 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.86 420 H Middlebury 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.01 306 H Skidmore 14-15 -1 2 - -3.45 427 A Wesleyan 10-18 -8 -4 - -2.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Hamilton 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.58 410 H Wesleyan 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.21 330 A Bates 13- 8 5 2 + 2.50 413 A Colby 11- 7 4 1 + 2.99 424 A Amherst 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.98
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.51 Power Rank................. 27 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.24 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 14 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6502 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 53 RPI Rating............... .5688 RPI Rank................... 55 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 27 Selection sum ........... 173 Selection Rank ............ 54 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 34 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 65 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7