Conf = NESCAC ------ State = T
Mascot = Bantams ------ Coach = Jason TarnowGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1073227 home-field advantage = -0.54 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Williams NESCAC ( 8-10, 92.1) 13-11 307 A Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 94.2) 8-14 311 A Union Liberty Leagu ( 8-12, 91.8) 11-10 314 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 8, 93.7) 9-10 317 H Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 6, 88.3) 14- 8 318 A Norwich GNAC North ( 9- 8, 76.1) 20- 7 321 H Tufts NESCAC (21- 1, 99.9) 11-17 325 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 90.0) 8- 4 328 A Salisbury CLC (17- 4, 93.7) 5-11 401 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 89.6) 15-16 404 A Bowdoin NESCAC (19- 2, 96.9) 8- 9 408 H Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 5, 95.0) 6-11 411 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.1) 13-18 418 A Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 88.5) 13-11 422 A Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 92.6) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Williams 13-11 2 0 + 2.47 307 A Bates 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.40 311 A Union 11-10 1 -1 + 2.26 314 H Middlebury 9-10 -1 -2 1.07 317 H Clarkson 14- 8 6 3 + 2.61 318 A Norwich 20- 7 13 14 0.00 321 H Tufts 11-17 -6 -8 1.00 325 H Skidmore 8- 4 4 1 + 2.40 328 A Salisbury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.87 401 A Connecticut College 15-16 -1 0 -1.95 404 A Bowdoin 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.36 408 H Wesleyan 6-11 -5 -3 -1.62 411 H Hamilton 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.51 418 A Colby 13-11 2 2 -0.06 422 A Amherst 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Hamilton 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.51 422 A Amherst 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.96 307 A Bates 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.40 328 A Salisbury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Bowdoin 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.36 228 H Williams 13-11 2 0 + 2.47 311 A Union 11-10 1 -1 + 2.26 317 H Clarkson 14- 8 6 3 + 2.61 325 H Skidmore 8- 4 4 1 + 2.40
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.11 Power Rank................. 23 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.86 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6600 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 38 RPI Rating............... .5444 RPI Rank................... 77 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 214 Selection sum ........... 219 Selection Rank ............ 74 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -65. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 60 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -115. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 104 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7